The worst group in history for the Blues?

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By: Manu Tournoux

Well on its way to qualifying easily and being among the top seeds in the Euro 2024 draw, the French team could very well fall on three “little ones” in its group.

You may have missed this, but since Euro 2020, UEFA has based itself not on its National Team Coefficient in order to establish the hats for the draw for the Euro group stage, but on the results of the playoffs. Thus, the French team was in pot 2 in 2020 after finishing 7th in the general qualifying standings. To inherit Germany, Portugal (in the 3) and even one of the 10 host countries, Hungary.

This time, Didier Deschamps’ Blues, winners of their 5 qualifying matches so far, can easily validate their qualification for the tournament organized in Germany (June 14-July 14) and be among the top seeds in the draw. on December 2 in Hamburg (6 p.m.). Kylian Mbappé and his teammates could thus avoid Portugal, England and Belgium, well on their way to finishing first in their respective groups.

According to the projections of We Global Football regarding the end of the qualifiers, the Netherlands, Spain and Italy could be the teams to avoid in hats 2 and 3. But with the special formula chosen by UEFA, the EDF can very well draw a extremely easy group, with no selection from the European top 10 and, out of hat 2, Hungary or the Czech Republic as the toughest opponents.

In the last two hats of the Euro 2024 draw (still according to projections from We Global Football) include teams outside the top 50 in the Fifa Ranking, such as Finland (55th), Albania (65th) and Israel (76th), not to mention the winner of the road C play-off (reserved for the 3rd division of the League of Nations) could be Luxembourg (89th) or Kazakhstan (104th).

The 4 hats according to the projections of We Global Football after the matches on September 10:

1: Germany, Portugal, France, England, Scotland, Belgium

2: Hungary, Croatia, Denmark, Switzerland, Czech Republic, Netherlands

3: Spain, Serbia, Austria, Albania, Finland, Italy

4: Türkiye, Slovakia, Israel, the 3 winners of the play-offs

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