Does artificial intelligence already know the future winner of the 2026 World Cup? According to the latest projections made by AVISIAa French consulting firm specializing in data and artificial intelligence and regular collaborator of French Football Weekly, France and Argentina share the first place among the favorites with a 21% chance of winning the title. This modeling is based on numerous individual and collective performance indicators, ranging from offensive quality to defensive rigor, including the physical fitness of the players. The Blues stand out in particular thanks to their offensive power embodied by Kylian Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé and Michael Olise, combined with high defensive solidity and an excellent level of athletic freshness. Argentina, for its part, displays remarkable collective stability, driven by rigorous defense, controlled distribution of play and a goalkeeper rated among the best in the tournament. Behind this leading duo, Spain completes the podium with a 20% chance of victory, driven by the generation led by Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams.
Just behind, Brazil and Portugal appear to be very credible contenders with 19% probability each. The Seleção benefits from a balance found under Carlo Ancelotti, while the Portuguese selection stands out for its endurance and the reliability of its last rampart. England closes this group of favorites with 12%, penalized by more limited physical freshness despite leading offensive potential. Founded in 2007, AVISIA is today one of the main French firms specializing in data, artificial intelligence and predictive models, with more than 300 consultants spread across several French cities. According to his model, the 2026 World Cup promises to be particularly open, with only two points difference between the five main favorites, a sign of a tournament where fitness and injury management could make the difference as much as pure talent. Answer in a little over a month, as the competition begins tomorrow evening.
