The great outcome is approaching. Next Monday, September 22, the name of the winner of the Ballon d'Or 2025 will be unveiled during the traditional ceremony organized at the Théâtre du Châtelet, in Paris. In the meantime, speculation is going well.
Two names come back with instance to succeed Rodri: Ousmane DembĂ©lĂ© and Lamine Yamal. The first advances as the big favorite. The Parisian striker has produced an exceptional season in terms of statistics, he who also embodies the historic PSG season, which won the first Champions League in his history. The Barcelona prodigy has him “ burned the retina »Due to his generational talent.
But for the French Cabinet Avisia, specialized in data and artificial intelligence, the name of the winner is not in doubt. According to their model, Ousmane Dembélé tops the ranking with 72 % chance of winning the most prestigious individual trophy in football. The tricolor international is followed by Lamine Yamal (56 %), Vitinha (40 %), Mohamed Salah (39 %) and Raphinha (33 %).
A model that has proven itself during the Golden Ball 2024
The model takes into account individual and collective performance, the notoriety of players but also the historical influence of the voting system. Indeed, a factor of ” Journalistic impact »Was integrated, analyzing the affinities of voting journalists with certain nationalities, clubs or game styles.
The French company claims to have more than 90 % confidence in the reliability of its algorithm. It must be said that his model has already proven himself in the past. He notably predicted the winners of two editions of Miss France, but also the Top 3 of the Ballon d'Or 2024.
