The defeat of Paris Saint-Germain against Atletico Madrid (1-2), at the very end of the match, Wednesday evening in the Champions League, must still be on the minds of Parisian supporters. With just one victory in four days, the Ile-de-France club has almost said goodbye to the top 8 and direct qualification for the round of 16. On the other hand, Luis Enrique’s team can still hope to get their place in the play-off.
According to statistics fromOptarelayed by The ParisianParisians still have nearly 66.6% chance of getting out. The algorithm considers that between 8 and 9 points could be enough for a team to finish between 9th and 24th place and thus be a play-off. PSG would therefore only be missing 4 or 5 more points to reach this “disguised round of 16”. The ranking of the Parisian club in the play-off will be important since the clubs classified from 9th to 16th place will be seeded, and will meet an opponent ranked between 17th to 24th place with the advantage of playing the return match at home. Always according to OptaPSG has a 31.3% chance of being eliminated before even reaching the play-offs and a 2.1% probability of reaching the top 8.
