Opposed to Benfica Lisbon in the quarter-finals of the Europa League, Olympique de Marseille would be the team least well placed to lift the trophy.
Can Olympique de Marseille go all the way in the Europa League? Theoretically yes, because all the teams still in the running still have the opportunity to win, which goes without saying. But it would be misleading to think that the Phocaeans mathematically have a one in eight chance of winning the jackpot.
According to the Opta Analyst account, OM is even the team with the least chance of winning this Europa League. The statistical analysis account, which is based on the teams’ performances this season and in previous ones, only gives Jean-Louis Gasset’s men a 3.7% chance of adding the C3 to their list of achievements.
Against Liverpool, it could get stuck
Not helped by its 7th place in Ligue 1 and its 44th place in the UEFA rankings, OM will already not be favorites in their confrontation against Benfica Lisbon in the quarter-finals. It is the Portuguese club which would have a 58.5% chance of qualifying.
Then, OM would certainly have the misfortune of meeting the big player in this competition, Liverpool, in the semi-final. Which reduces the Phocaeans’ chances of reaching the final to around 10%. Then, we would have to deal with Bayer Leverkusen, Milan, or Roma. We therefore understand that it will be very difficult for the Olympians… but not impossible.
