Second in its group, PSG must expect a complicated opponent in the round of 16. The statistics also point to Bayern Munich as the most likely opponent.
Bayern Munich for PSG in the round of 16? The main thing is except for PSG. Well helped by the victory of AC Milan on the Newcastle lawn, the French champions were in fact able to settle for a draw in the lair of Borussia Dortmund to secure their ticket for the round of 16 and thus extend their beautiful series: since the takeover of the club by QSI, the Parisians have systematically left the groups to compete in the final phase of the Champions League.
Generally, it is from the round of 16 that things get tough for the Rouge et Bleu. And once again, the capital club can expect the worst. Second in its group behind Borussia Dortmund, PSG has everything to fear from the draw. The list of potential opponents is chilling since Manchester City, Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, FC Barcelona, Arsenal, Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad are the seven clubs likely to face Paris in the round of 16.
City, second most likely opponent
But due to the specificities of the draw, including the impossibility for two clubs from the same country to compete, PSG has more or less chance of falling on certain opponents. Due to the elimination of two English clubs and the presence of the four Spanish representatives in pot 1, the differences in probabilities nevertheless remain small. In Pot 2, only Leipzig, who cannot face Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, actually has a limited choice of opponents in Pot 1.
Unsurprisingly, since the Parisians cannot find Borussia Dortmund either, Bayern Munich is therefore the most likely opponent for PSG, with a 17.30% chance, Manchester City following with 14.75%. All other potential opponents have a 13.59% chance, including Real Sociedad, clearly the best draw for the Parisians.
Aquí holds the range of probabilities for all possible encounters of the sort of octavos.
On this occasion, the cifras are strong partners because only a league (the German) has representatives in ambos bombos and this increases the “pureza” of the sort. pic.twitter.com/lPHaCFHD4a
— MisterChip (Alexis) (@2010MisterChip) December 13, 2023
